Analysis of electricity consumption, electricity generation emissions intensity and economy-wide emissions

The report was prepared by Vivid Economics for the Climate Change Authority (the Authority) and has been used by the Authority to inform the Targets and Progress Review.

This report examines changes in electricity consumption, emissions intensity of electricity supply and economy-wide emissions, focusing on the period since 2000, and the drivers that underpin these changes.

This report provides the results of that modelling exercise. The results do not constitute official Australian Government projections

Report

• Australia’s electricity and emissions final report
• Australia’s electricity and emissions final report

Underlying data for figures

• Figure 1 - Electricity consumption in Australia
• Figure 2 - Electricity prices
• Figure 3 - Electricity consumption in NEM region
• Figure 4 - Total electricity consumption by sector in the NEM region
• Figure 5 - Electricity consumption intensity
• Figure 6 - Electricity consumption LMDI decomposition
• Figure 7 - Electricity consumption LMDI decomposition (yearly)
• Figure 8 - The greatest contributions to changes between 2003 and 2012 come from the manufacturing and residential sectors in the NEM
• Figure 9 - Electricity consumption LMDI decomposition, structural effect
• Figure 10 - Electricity consumption LMDI decomposition, structural effect (yearly)
• Figure 11 - Electricity consumption LMDI decomposition, Intensity effect
• Figure 12 - Electricity consumption LMDI decomposition, Intensity effect (yearly)
• Figure 13 - Electricity consumption LMDI decomposition, Total activity effect
• Figure 14 - Residential electricity consumption NEM region Vs WA and NT
• Figure 15 - The trends in residential consumption growth between NEM and WA and NT are similar
• Figure 16 - Residential electricity consumption per capita; NEM region Vs WA and NT
• Figure 17 - Residential electricity consumption forecasts (in different scenarios)
• Figure 18 - Long run price elasticity
• Figure 19 - Commercial and services electricity consumption NEM region Vs WA and NT
• Figure 20 - Commercial and services electricity consumption growth; NEM region Vs WA and NT
• Figure 21 - Com electricity consumption forecasts (in different scenarios)
• Figure 22 - Manufacturing electricity consumption NEM region Vs WA and NT
• Figure 23 - Manufacturing electricity consumption growth; NEM region Vs WA and NT
• Figure 24 - Manufacturing electricity consumption forecasts (in different scenarios)
• Figure 25 - NEM region electricity consumption (AEMO data)
• Figure 26 - Electricity generation emissions intensity
• Figure 27 - Emissions intensity of electricity generation - cross country comparison
• Figure 28 - Electricity generation by fuel type
• Figure 29 - Electricity generation emissions intensity by fuel type
• Figure 30 - Electricity generation emissions intensity LMDI decomposition
• Figure 31 - Electricity generation emissions intensity LMDI decomposition (yearly)
• Figure 32 - Black coal electricity generation
• Figure 33 - Electricity generation emissions intensity LMDI decomposition (yearly)
• Figure 34 - QLD share of gas fired electricity
• Figure 35 - NSW share of gas fired electricity and renewables
• Figure 36 - Fuel prices
• Figure 37 - Renewable electricity generation
• Figure 38 - Contribution of solar PV to renewables growth rate
• Figure 39 - Solar PV generation
• Figure 40 - Renewables Vs MRET
• Figure 41 - Renewables
• Figure 42 - Black coal electricity generation
• Figure 43 - Emissions excluding LULUCF
• Figure 44 - Emissions of main sectors
• Figure 45 - Emissions intensity
• Figure 46 - Sectoral emissions intensity
• Figure 47 - Emissions LMDI decomposition
• Figure 48 - Emissions LMDI decomposition (yearly)
• Figure 49 - Emissions LMDI decomposition, Activity effect
• Figure 50 - Emissions LMDI decomposition, Structural effect (yearly)
• Figure 51 - Emissions LMDI decomposition, Structural effect by sector
• Figure 52 - Emissions LMDI decomposition, Intensity effect (yearly)
• Figure 53 - Emissions LMDI decomposition, Intensity effect by sector
• Figure 54 - Emissions LMDI decomposition, Structural effect by sub-sector
• Figure 55 - Emissions LMDI decomposition, Intensity effect by sub-sector
• Figure 56 - Emissions LMDI decomposition, Structural effect by sub-sector
• Figure 57 - Emissions LMDI decomposition, Intensity effect by sub-sector
• Figure 58 - Econometric methodology