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Targets and Progress Review Final Report Figures

List of Figures in the Final Report, with underlying data

View the Final Report.

Summary

Chapter 1

  • Figure 1.1 The Authority’s Review and international climate change milestones 2014–15
  • Figure 1.2 Targets, trajectory, trajectory range and budget
  • Figure 1.3 Targets and Progress Review-key considerations

Chapter 2

  • Figure 2.1 Carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide concentrations over the past 1,000 years
  • Figure 2.2 Advances in scientific understanding of climate change
  • Figure 2.3 Average annual temperature anomalies in Australia over the past century
  • Figure 2.4 Changes in ocean heat content since 1960
  • Figure 2.5 The relationship between climate averages and extremes
  • Figure 2.6 Global impacts projected to result from rising temperatures

Chapter 3

  • Figure 3.1 Illustrative alternative global emissions trajectories for a given global emissions budget
  • Figure 3.2 Relationship between greenhouse gas emissions and global temperature
  • Figure 3.3 Probability of staying below specific temperature increases above pre‑industrial levels given carbon dioxide equivalent stabilisation levels

Chapter 4

Chapter 6

  • Figure 6.1 Australia’s emissions by sector, 1990-2012
  • Figure 6.2 Percentage of Australia’s emissions by sector, 1990 and 2012
  • Figure 6.3 Growth in Australia’s emissions by sector, 1990-2012
  • Figure 6.4 Drivers of emissions trends, 2000-2011

Chapter 7

  • Figure 7.1 The Authority’s recommended set of emissions reduction goals
  • Figure 7.2 Carryover relative to the 2013-20 budget and 2020 target

Chapter 9

  • Figure 9.1 Relationships between 2020 targets, 2030 trajectories and national emissions budgets
  • Figure 9.2 Recommended 2020 goals for Australia
  • Figure 9.3 Recommended goals for Australia

Chapter 10

  • Figure 10.1 ACU prices for different scenarios, 2013-2030
  • Figure 10.2 Australia’s emissions reduction task to 2020
  • Figure 10.3 Domestic emissions and imports for different targets, medium scenario, 2013-2020
  • Figure 10.4 GNI per person, medium scenario, 2013-20
  • Figure 10.5 Domestic emissions and cumulative emissions reductions for different scenarios, 5 per cent target, 2013-2020
  • Figure 10.6 GDP for each scenario, 2012-2020

Chapter 11

  • Figure 11.1 Categories of emissions reduction opportunities
  • Figure 11.2 Australia’s projected emissions under different scenarios, 1990-2030
  • Figure 11.3 Australia’s recommended emissions budget to 2050 compared with cumulative domestic emissions from 2013 to 2030
  • Figure 11.4 Australia’s projected emissions per dollar GDP, 2000-2030
  • Figure 11.5 Australia’s projected emissions per person, 2000-2030
  • Figure 11.6 Projected average annual change in emissions, by sector, 2012-2030
  • Figure 11.7 Projected emissions reductions relative to the no‑price scenario, 2020 and 2030
  • Figure 11.8 Electricity emissions, historical and projected, 1990-2030
  • Figure 11.9 Transport emissions, historical and projected, 1990-2030
  • Figure 11.10 Share of global vehicle markets covered by mandatory CO2 emissions standards
  • Figure 11.11 Direct combustion emissions, historical and projected, 1990-2030
  • Figure 11.12 Fugitive emissions, historical and projected, 1990-2030
  • Figure 11.13 Industrial process emissions, historical and projected, 1990-2030
  • Figure 11.14 Agriculture emissions, historical and projected, 1990-2030
  • Figure 11.15 LULUCF emissions, historical and projected 1990-2030
  • Figure 11.16 Waste emissions, historical and projected, 1990-2030

Chapter 12

  • Figure 12.1 CDM units by technology
  • Figure 12.2 CDM units by country
  • Figure 12.3 Emissions reductions required to meet 5 per cent target and recommended goal

Chapter 13

  • Figure 13.1 The relationship between the trajectory, cap and emissions
  • Figure 13.2 Default cap arrangements under the carbon price mechanism
  • Figure 13.3 Shapes of caps–releasing carbon units in line with the trajectory

Appendix B

  • Figure B.1 OECD-estimated effective carbon prices in different sectors by country
  • Figure B.2 Countries’ 2020 targets relative to 2005 levels
  • Figure B.3 Emissions intensity of countries, 2005 levels and 2020 targets
  • Figure B.4 Percentage change in emissions under countries’ targets relative to BAU levels at 2020
  • Figure B.5 Per person emissions of countries, 2005 levels and 2020 targets

Appendix C

Appendix D

  • Figure D.1 Examples of trends in emissions intensity and activity
  • Figure D.2 Examples of trends in emissions intensity and activity, 1990‑2030
  • Figure D.3 Australia’s emissions, 1990-2030
  • Figure D.4 Australia’s GDP per person, emissions per person and emission intensity, 2000‑2030
  • Figure D.5 Australia’s emissions intensity–emissions per unit GDP ($2012), 2000‑2030
  • Figure D.6 Australia’s emissions intensity–emissions and population, 2000-2030
  • Figure D.7 Changes in Australia’s emissions–no price and high scenarios, 2012-2030
  • Figure D.8 Australia’s domestic emissions by sector, selected years, 1990-2030
  • Figure D.9 Electricity generation sector share of Australia’s emissions, selected years, 1990-2030
  • Figure D.10 Electricity generation activity and emissions intensity of electricity supply–modelled range, 1990-2050
  • Figure D.11 Electricity generation activity and emissions intensity–four scenarios, 1990-2050
  • Figure D.12 Contributors to electricity emissions, selected years, 1990-2050, and to change in emissions relative to 2000 levels
  • Figure D.13 Share of electricity generation by fuel type, 2012-2050
  • Figure D.14 Projected LCOE of selected generation technologies (with a carbon price), in 2020, 2030 and 2040
  • Figure D.15 Projected change in NEM demand and person electricity consumption, 2013-2030
  • Figure D.16 Transport share of Australia’s emissions, selected years 1990-2030
  • Figure D.17 Passenger road transport activity and emissions intensity – modelled range, 1990-2050
  • Figure D.18 Passenger road transport activity and emissions intensity–four scenarios, 1990-2050
  • Figure D.19 Contributors to transport emissions, selected years, 1990-2050, and to change in emissions relative to 2000 levels
  • Figure D.20 Comparison of passenger vehicle CO2 emission rate projections, 2000‑2025
  • Figure D.21 Cumulative light vehicle emission reductions with CO2 emissions standards, compared to BAU projections, 2030-2050
  • Figure D.22 Upstream and downstream emissions of diesel fuels\
  • Figure D.23 Direct combustion share of Australia’s emissions, selected years, 1990-2030
  • Figure D.24 Direct combustion activity and emissions intensity, 1990-2030
  • Figure D.25 Historical and projected direct combustion activity and emissions intensity, 1990-2030
  • Figure D.26 Contributors to direct combustion emissions, selected years, 1990‑2030, and to change in emissions relative to 2000 levels
  • Figure D.27 Fugitive share of Australia’s emissions, selected years, 1990-2030
  • Figure D.28 Historical and projected fugitive emissions, 1990-2030
  • Figure D.29 Contributors to fugitive emissions, selected years, 1990-2030, and to change in emissions relative to 2000 levels
  • Figure D.30 Industrial process share of Australia’s emissions, selected years, 1990–2030
  • Figure D.31 Process emissions from metal production, synthetic greenhouse gases and other production, 1990–2030
  • Figure D.32 Process emissions from chemical and mineral production, 1990–2030
  • Figure D.33 Contributors to industrial process emissions, selected years, 1990–2030, and to change in emissions levels relative to 2000 levels
  • Figure D.34 Agriculture share of Australia’s emissions, selected years, 1990–2030
  • Figure D.35 Contributors to agriculture emissions, selected years, 1990–2050, and to change in emissions relative to 2000 levels
  • Figure D.36 LULUCF share of Australia’s emissions, selected years, 1990–2030
  • Figure D.37 Deforestation and other land use change emissions and sequestration, 1990–2030
  • Figure D.38 Contributors to LULUCF emissions, selected years, 1990–2030, and to change in emissions relative to 2000 levels
  • Figure D.39 LULUCF emissions and sequestration (medium scenario), 1990–2030
  • Figure D.40 Waste share of Australia’s emissions, selected years, 1990–2030
  • Figure D.41 Solid waste emissions intensity, 1990–2030
  • Figure D.42 Emissions intensity of landfill, 1990–2030
  • Figure D.43 Contributors to waste emissions, selected years, 1990–2030, and to change in emissions relative to 2000 levels

Appendix E

  • Figure E.1 Import limit testing under a 19 per cent target, medium scenario
  • Figure E.2 Estimated budget available for caps, 2013–2030

Appendix F

  • Figure F.1 How the suite of models fits together
  • Figure F.2 How changes in emissions are quantified and attributed